IES predicts increment in LPG prices

The Institute of Energy Security (IES) is projecting a considerable rise in the price of LPG on the local market.

This is captured in the Institute’s report for the first pricing window for this month.

Speaking to Citi News, Research Analyst at the Institute of Energy Security, Mikdad Mohammed said the Institute arrived at this conclusion after studying factors on the global market, among others.

“We realized that gasoline and gas oil are coming down gradually and marginally. We are seeing LPG shoot up on the international market. All other factors being constant, these are the factors that inform our projection.”

A statement from the Institute further indicated that prices of petrol and diesel at the pumps have remained stable for some time now.

“Prices of Petrol and Diesel have experienced relative stability over the past couple of weeks in line with oil market fundamentals.”

Below is the full Statement


Prices of Petrol and Diesel have experienced relative stability over the past couple of weeks in line with oil market fundamentals. The second Pricing-window of August 2019 saw fuel prices remain unchanged at the pump.

The window also saw a review of Bulk Oil Distributors’ (BDCs) Forward FX rate (FuFeX) from 60 days to 30 days. Average price for both Gasoline (Petrol) and Gasoil (Diesel) stood Ghc5.12 across major Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs).

According to IES Market-Scan, Benab Oil, Pacific Oil, Frimps Oil and Star Oil sold the least-priced fuel relative to other OMCs on the local market.

World Oil Market Prices

In terms of world market pricing, average Brent crude fell by 2.15%, due mainly to mixed sentiments and reaction to the escalating tensions between the U.S. and China over trade. Trump escalated the trade war with an announcement of tariffs on an additional $300 billion imports earlier this month.

Beijing reacted this last week with new tariffs on $75 billion worth of U.S. goods, including a 5% tariff on crude oil imports beginning next week. As a result, average Brent crude price fell from $60.68 per barrel to $59.37 per barrel.

According to Standard and Poor’s Global Platts benchmark for fuels, Gasoil average price dropped by 1.17% to close trading at $561.68 per metric ton, from a previous price of $568.30 per metric ton.

Gasoline also reduced by 4.2% to close trading at $605 per metric ton from a previous trading figure of $631.53 per metric ton.

Whereas Gasoline and Gasoil saw price reductions, Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) price shot up by 14.5% by Platts assessment.

Local Forex and Fuel Stock

IES economic data shows the local currency experienced a marginal depreciation of 0.09% against the Dollar over the past two weeks. The dollar currently trades at GHc5.49 as against Ghc5.44 in the previous Pricing-windows.

Source: CitiNewsRoom